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Probability is Not Enough: Exploring and Counting Divergent Tokens for Reasoning Uncertainty Quantification in LLMs

Feiyang Li, Shengjing Liu, Qi Zhan, Sijie Cheng, Weiqing Wang, Hongwen Chen · Sep 29, 2026

Citations: 0

Match reason: Matched by broad semantic/index fallback.

Score: 45% High protocol signal Freshness: Hot Status: Fallback
Automatic Metrics Long Horizon MathCoding
  • DTC supports both white-box and black-box evaluation using auxiliary models, without explicit training and affecting the generation process.
  • Under white-box evaluation, the count-only estimator achieves an average expected calibration error of 13.0%, compared with 32.7%-42.4% for standard full-sequence confidence methods.
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