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Logarithmic Scores, Power-Law Discoveries: Disentangling Measurement from Coverage in Agent-Based Evaluation

HyunJoon Jung, William Na · Apr 1, 2026 · Citations: 0

How to use this paper page

Coverage: Recent

Use this page to decide whether the paper is strong enough to influence an eval design. It summarizes the abstract plus available structured metadata. If the signal is thin, use it as background context and compare it against stronger hub pages before making protocol choices.

Best use

Background context only

Metadata: Recent

Trust level

Low

Signals: Recent

What still needs checking

Extraction flags indicate low-signal or possible false-positive protocol mapping.

Signal confidence: 0.30

Abstract

LLM-based agent judges are an emerging approach to evaluating conversational AI, yet a fundamental uncertainty remains: can we trust their assessments, and if so, how many are needed? Through 960 sessions with two model pairs across 15 tasks, we show that persona-based agent judges produce evaluations indistinguishable from human raters in a Turing-style validation. We then identify a score-coverage dissociation: quality scores improve logarithmically with panel size, while unique issue discoveries follow a sublinear power law-both exhibit diminishing returns, but scores saturate roughly twice as fast as discoveries. We hypothesize this reflects a power law distribution of the finding space: critical issues are discovered first by small panels, while corner cases require progressively larger panels, analogous to species accumulation curves in ecology. The mechanism traces to ensemble diversity-Big Five personality conditioning makes agents probe different quality dimensions, with expert judges acting as adversarial probes that push discovery into the tail of the finding distribution. A controlled ablation confirms that structured persona conditioning, not simple prompting, is required to produce these scaling properties.

Use caution before copying this protocol

Use this page for context, then validate protocol choices against stronger HFEPX references before implementation decisions.

  • Extraction flags indicate low-signal or possible false-positive protocol mapping.
  • Extraction confidence is 0.30 (below strong-reference threshold).
  • No benchmark/dataset or metric anchors were extracted.

HFEPX Relevance Assessment

This paper is adjacent to HFEPX scope and is best used for background context, not as a primary protocol reference.

Best use

Background context only

Use if you need

A secondary eval reference to pair with stronger protocol papers.

Main weakness

Extraction flags indicate low-signal or possible false-positive protocol mapping.

Trust level

Low

Eval-Fit Score

0/100 • Low

Treat as adjacent context, not a core eval-method reference.

Human Feedback Signal

Not explicit in abstract metadata

Evaluation Signal

Detected

HFEPX Fit

Adjacent candidate

Extraction confidence: Low

What This Page Found In The Paper

Each field below shows whether the signal looked explicit, partial, or missing in the available metadata. Use this to judge what is safe to trust directly and what still needs full-paper validation.

Human Feedback Types

missing

None explicit

Confidence: Low Not found

No explicit feedback protocol extracted.

Evidence snippet: LLM-based agent judges are an emerging approach to evaluating conversational AI, yet a fundamental uncertainty remains: can we trust their assessments, and if so, how many are needed?

Evaluation Modes

partial

Human Eval

Confidence: Low Direct evidence

Includes extracted eval setup.

Evidence snippet: LLM-based agent judges are an emerging approach to evaluating conversational AI, yet a fundamental uncertainty remains: can we trust their assessments, and if so, how many are needed?

Quality Controls

missing

Not reported

Confidence: Low Not found

No explicit QC controls found.

Evidence snippet: LLM-based agent judges are an emerging approach to evaluating conversational AI, yet a fundamental uncertainty remains: can we trust their assessments, and if so, how many are needed?

Benchmarks / Datasets

missing

Not extracted

Confidence: Low Not found

No benchmark anchors detected.

Evidence snippet: LLM-based agent judges are an emerging approach to evaluating conversational AI, yet a fundamental uncertainty remains: can we trust their assessments, and if so, how many are needed?

Reported Metrics

missing

Not extracted

Confidence: Low Not found

No metric anchors detected.

Evidence snippet: LLM-based agent judges are an emerging approach to evaluating conversational AI, yet a fundamental uncertainty remains: can we trust their assessments, and if so, how many are needed?

Rater Population

partial

Domain Experts

Confidence: Low Direct evidence

Helpful for staffing comparability.

Evidence snippet: Through 960 sessions with two model pairs across 15 tasks, we show that persona-based agent judges produce evaluations indistinguishable from human raters in a Turing-style validation.

Human Data Lens

  • Uses human feedback: No
  • Feedback types: None
  • Rater population: Domain Experts
  • Unit of annotation: Unknown
  • Expertise required: Law
  • Signal basis: Structured extraction plus abstract evidence.

Evaluation Lens

  • Evaluation modes: Human Eval
  • Agentic eval: None
  • Quality controls: Not reported
  • Signal confidence: 0.30
  • Known cautions: low_signal, possible_false_positive

Protocol And Measurement Signals

Benchmarks / Datasets

No benchmark or dataset names were extracted from the available abstract.

Reported Metrics

No metric terms were extracted from the available abstract.

Research Brief

Metadata summary

LLM-based agent judges are an emerging approach to evaluating conversational AI, yet a fundamental uncertainty remains: can we trust their assessments, and if so, how many are needed?

Based on abstract + metadata only. Check the source paper before making high-confidence protocol decisions.

Key Takeaways

  • LLM-based agent judges are an emerging approach to evaluating conversational AI, yet a fundamental uncertainty remains: can we trust their assessments, and if so, how many are needed?
  • Through 960 sessions with two model pairs across 15 tasks, we show that persona-based agent judges produce evaluations indistinguishable from human raters in a Turing-style validation.
  • We then identify a score-coverage dissociation: quality scores improve logarithmically with panel size, while unique issue discoveries follow a sublinear power law-both exhibit diminishing returns, but scores saturate roughly twice as fast as discoveries.

Researcher Actions

  • Compare this paper against nearby papers in the same arXiv category before using it for protocol decisions.
  • Check the full text for explicit evaluation design choices (raters, protocol, and metrics).
  • Use related-paper links to find stronger protocol-specific references.

Caveats

  • Generated from abstract + metadata only; no PDF parsing.
  • Signals below are heuristic and may miss details reported outside the abstract.

Research Summary

Contribution Summary

  • LLM-based agent judges are an emerging approach to evaluating conversational AI, yet a fundamental uncertainty remains: can we trust their assessments, and if so, how many are needed?
  • Through 960 sessions with two model pairs across 15 tasks, we show that persona-based agent judges produce evaluations indistinguishable from human raters in a Turing-style validation.
  • The mechanism traces to ensemble diversity-Big Five personality conditioning makes agents probe different quality dimensions, with expert judges acting as adversarial probes that push discovery into the tail of the finding distribution.

Why It Matters For Eval

  • LLM-based agent judges are an emerging approach to evaluating conversational AI, yet a fundamental uncertainty remains: can we trust their assessments, and if so, how many are needed?
  • Through 960 sessions with two model pairs across 15 tasks, we show that persona-based agent judges produce evaluations indistinguishable from human raters in a Turing-style validation.

Researcher Checklist

  • Gap: Human feedback protocol is explicit

    No explicit human feedback protocol detected.

  • Pass: Evaluation mode is explicit

    Detected: Human Eval

  • Gap: Quality control reporting appears

    No calibration/adjudication/IAA control explicitly detected.

  • Gap: Benchmark or dataset anchors are present

    No benchmark/dataset anchor extracted from abstract.

  • Gap: Metric reporting is present

    No metric terms extracted.

Related Papers

Papers are ranked by protocol overlap, extraction signal alignment, and semantic proximity.

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