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HFEPX · Eval paper review

The Detection-Extraction Gap: Models Know the Answer Before They Can Say It

Hanyang Wang, Mingxuan Zhu

Published

Apr 8, 2026

Citations

0

Trust level

Low

Usefulness score

25/100 (Low)

Extraction confidence

45% (Low)

Derived from extracted protocol signals and abstract evidence.

Rater population

Not reported

Signals refreshed

Apr 9, 2026

Should you rely on this paper?

This paper is adjacent to HFEPX scope and is best used for background context, not as a primary protocol reference.

Use this as background context only. Do not make protocol decisions from this page alone.

Best use

Background context only

Use if you need

A secondary eval reference to pair with stronger protocol papers.

What to verify

Validate the evaluation procedure and quality controls in the full paper before operational use.

Main weakness

The available metadata is too thin to trust this as a primary source.

Human feedback signal
Not explicit
Not explicit in abstract metadata
Evaluation signal
Detected
Eval setup described
Usefulness for eval research
25/100
Adjacent candidate

Treat as adjacent context, not a core eval-method reference.

Abstract

Modern reasoning models continue generating long after the answer is already determined. Across five model configurations, two families, and three benchmarks, we find that 52--88% of chain-of-thought tokens are produced after the answer is recoverable from a partial prefix. This post-commitment generation reveals a structural phenomenon: the detection-extraction gap. Free continuations from early prefixes recover the correct answer even at 10% of the trace, while forced extraction fails on 42% of these cases. The answer is recoverable from the model state, yet prompt-conditioned decoding fails to extract it. We formalize this mismatch via a total-variation bound between free and forced continuation distributions, yielding quantitative estimates of suffix-induced shift. Exploiting this asymmetry, we propose Black-box Adaptive Early Exit (BAEE), which uses free continuations for both detection and extraction, truncating 70--78% of serial generation while improving accuracy by 1--5pp across all models. For thinking-mode models, early exit prevents post-commitment overwriting, yielding gains of up to 5.8pp; a cost-optimized variant achieves 68--73% reduction at a median of 9 API calls. Code is available at https://github.com/EdWangLoDaSc/know2say.

What we could verify

These are the protocol signals we could actually recover from the available paper metadata. Use them to decide whether this paper is worth deeper reading.

Human Feedback Types

missing

None explicit

No explicit feedback protocol extracted.

"Modern reasoning models continue generating long after the answer is already determined."

Evaluation Modes

partial

Automatic Metrics

Includes extracted eval setup.

"Modern reasoning models continue generating long after the answer is already determined."

Quality Controls

missing

Not reported

No explicit QC controls found.

"Modern reasoning models continue generating long after the answer is already determined."

Benchmarks / Datasets

missing

Not extracted

No benchmark anchors detected.

"Modern reasoning models continue generating long after the answer is already determined."

Reported Metrics

partial

Accuracy

Useful for evaluation criteria comparison.

"Exploiting this asymmetry, we propose Black-box Adaptive Early Exit (BAEE), which uses free continuations for both detection and extraction, truncating 70--78% of serial generation while improving accuracy by 1--5pp across all models."

Benchmarks and datasets

No benchmark or dataset names were extracted from the available abstract.

Reported metrics

accuracy
Human feedback details
Uses human feedback
No
Feedback types
None
Rater population
Not reported
Expertise required
Coding
Evaluation details
Evaluation modes
Automatic Metrics
Agentic eval
Tool Use
Quality controls
Not reported
Evidence quality
Low
Use this page as
Background context only

Research brief

Metadata summary

Modern reasoning models continue generating long after the answer is already determined.

Based on abstract + metadata only. Check the source paper before making high-confidence protocol decisions.

Key takeaways

  • Modern reasoning models continue generating long after the answer is already determined.
  • Across five model configurations, two families, and three benchmarks, we find that 52--88% of chain-of-thought tokens are produced after the answer is recoverable from a partial prefix.
  • This post-commitment generation reveals a structural phenomenon: the detection-extraction gap.

Researcher actions

  • Compare this paper against nearby papers in the same arXiv category before using it for protocol decisions.
  • Validate inferred eval signals (Automatic metrics, Tool-use evaluation) against the full paper.
  • Use related-paper links to find stronger protocol-specific references.

Caveats

  • Generated from abstract + metadata only; no PDF parsing.
  • Signals below are heuristic and may miss details reported outside the abstract.

Recommended queries

Contribution summary

  • Across five model configurations, two families, and three benchmarks, we find that 52--88% of chain-of-thought tokens are produced after the answer is recoverable from a partial prefix.
  • Free continuations from early prefixes recover the correct answer even at 10% of the trace, while forced extraction fails on 42% of these cases.
  • Exploiting this asymmetry, we propose Black-box Adaptive Early Exit (BAEE), which uses free continuations for both detection and extraction, truncating 70--78% of serial generation while improving accuracy by 1--5pp across all models.

Why it matters for eval

  • Across five model configurations, two families, and three benchmarks, we find that 52--88% of chain-of-thought tokens are produced after the answer is recoverable from a partial prefix.

Researcher checklist

  • Human feedback protocol is explicit

    No explicit human feedback protocol detected.

  • Evaluation mode is explicit

    Detected: Automatic Metrics

  • Quality control reporting appears

    No calibration/adjudication/IAA control explicitly detected.

  • Benchmark or dataset anchors are present

    No benchmark/dataset anchor extracted from abstract.

  • Metric reporting is present

    Detected: accuracy