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The AI Skills Shift: Mapping Skill Obsolescence, Emergence, and Transition Pathways in the LLM Era

Rudra Jadhav, Janhavi Danve · Apr 8, 2026 · Citations: 0

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Data freshness

Extraction: Fresh

Check recency before relying on this page for active eval decisions. Use stale pages as context and verify against current hub results.

Metadata refreshed

Apr 8, 2026, 10:05 AM

Fresh

Extraction refreshed

Apr 10, 2026, 7:14 AM

Fresh

Extraction source

Persisted extraction

Confidence 0.15

Abstract

As Large Language Models reshape the global labor market, policymakers and workers need empirical data on which occupational skills may be most susceptible to automation. We present the Skill Automation Feasibility Index (SAFI), benchmarking four frontier LLMs -- LLaMA 3.3 70B, Mistral Large, Qwen 2.5 72B, and Gemini 2.5 Flash -- across 263 text-based tasks spanning all 35 skills in the U.S. Department of Labor's O*NET taxonomy (1,052 total model calls, 0% failure rate). Cross-referencing with real-world AI adoption data from the Anthropic Economic Index (756 occupations, 17,998 tasks), we propose an AI Impact Matrix -- an interpretive framework that positions skills along four quadrants: High Displacement Risk, Upskilling Required, AI-Augmented, and Lower Displacement Risk. Key findings: (1) Mathematics (SAFI: 73.2) and Programming (71.8) receive the highest automation feasibility scores; Active Listening (42.2) and Reading Comprehension (45.5) receive the lowest; (2) a "capability-demand inversion" where skills most demanded in AI-exposed jobs are those LLMs perform least well at in our benchmark; (3) 78.7% of observed AI interactions are augmentation, not automation; (4) all four models converge to similar skill profiles (3.6-point spread), suggesting that text-based automation feasibility may be more skill-dependent than model-dependent. SAFI measures LLM performance on text-based representations of skills, not full occupational execution. All data, code, and model responses are open-sourced.

Low-signal caution for protocol decisions

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  • Extraction flags indicate low-signal or possible false-positive protocol mapping.
  • Extraction confidence is 0.15 (below strong-reference threshold).
  • No explicit evaluation mode was extracted from available metadata.
  • No benchmark/dataset or metric anchors were extracted.
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HFEPX Relevance Assessment

This paper is adjacent to HFEPX scope and is best used for background context, not as a primary protocol reference.

Best use

Background context only

Use if you need

Background context only.

Main weakness

Extraction flags indicate low-signal or possible false-positive protocol mapping.

Trust level

Low

Eval-Fit Score

0/100 • Low

Treat as adjacent context, not a core eval-method reference.

Human Feedback Signal

Not explicit in abstract metadata

Evaluation Signal

Weak / implicit signal

HFEPX Fit

Adjacent candidate

Extraction confidence: Low

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Field Provenance & Confidence

Each key protocol field shows extraction state, confidence band, and data source so you can decide whether to trust it directly or validate from full text.

Human Feedback Types

missing

None explicit

Confidence: Low Source: Persisted extraction missing

No explicit feedback protocol extracted.

Evidence snippet: As Large Language Models reshape the global labor market, policymakers and workers need empirical data on which occupational skills may be most susceptible to automation.

Evaluation Modes

missing

None explicit

Confidence: Low Source: Persisted extraction missing

Validate eval design from full paper text.

Evidence snippet: As Large Language Models reshape the global labor market, policymakers and workers need empirical data on which occupational skills may be most susceptible to automation.

Quality Controls

missing

Not reported

Confidence: Low Source: Persisted extraction missing

No explicit QC controls found.

Evidence snippet: As Large Language Models reshape the global labor market, policymakers and workers need empirical data on which occupational skills may be most susceptible to automation.

Benchmarks / Datasets

missing

Not extracted

Confidence: Low Source: Persisted extraction missing

No benchmark anchors detected.

Evidence snippet: As Large Language Models reshape the global labor market, policymakers and workers need empirical data on which occupational skills may be most susceptible to automation.

Reported Metrics

missing

Not extracted

Confidence: Low Source: Persisted extraction missing

No metric anchors detected.

Evidence snippet: As Large Language Models reshape the global labor market, policymakers and workers need empirical data on which occupational skills may be most susceptible to automation.

Rater Population

missing

Unknown

Confidence: Low Source: Persisted extraction missing

Rater source not explicitly reported.

Evidence snippet: As Large Language Models reshape the global labor market, policymakers and workers need empirical data on which occupational skills may be most susceptible to automation.

Human Data Lens

  • Uses human feedback: No
  • Feedback types: None
  • Rater population: Unknown
  • Unit of annotation: Unknown
  • Expertise required: Math, Coding
  • Extraction source: Persisted extraction

Evaluation Lens

  • Evaluation modes:
  • Agentic eval: None
  • Quality controls: Not reported
  • Confidence: 0.15
  • Flags: low_signal, possible_false_positive

Protocol And Measurement Signals

Benchmarks / Datasets

No benchmark or dataset names were extracted from the available abstract.

Reported Metrics

No metric terms were extracted from the available abstract.

Research Brief

Deterministic synthesis

We present the Skill Automation Feasibility Index (SAFI), benchmarking four frontier LLMs -- LLaMA 3.3 70B, Mistral Large, Qwen 2.5 72B, and Gemini 2.5 Flash -- across 263 text-based tasks spanning all 35 skills in the U.S. HFEPX protocol signal is limited in abstract-level metadata, so treat it as adjacent context. Updated from current HFEPX corpus.

Generated Apr 10, 2026, 7:14 AM · Grounded in abstract + metadata only

Key Takeaways

  • We present the Skill Automation Feasibility Index (SAFI), benchmarking four frontier LLMs -- LLaMA 3.3 70B, Mistral Large, Qwen 2.5 72B, and Gemini 2.5 Flash -- across 263…
  • Cross-referencing with real-world AI adoption data from the Anthropic Economic Index (756 occupations, 17,998 tasks), we propose an AI Impact Matrix -- an interpretive framework…

Researcher Actions

  • Treat this as method context, then pivot to protocol-specific HFEPX hubs.
  • Identify benchmark choices from full text before operationalizing conclusions.
  • Verify metric definitions before comparing against your eval pipeline.

Caveats

  • Generated from title, abstract, and extracted metadata only; full-paper implementation details are not parsed.
  • Low-signal flag detected: protocol relevance may be indirect.

Research Summary

Contribution Summary

  • We present the Skill Automation Feasibility Index (SAFI), benchmarking four frontier LLMs -- LLaMA 3.3 70B, Mistral Large, Qwen 2.5 72B, and Gemini 2.5 Flash -- across 263 text-based tasks spanning all 35 skills in the U.S.
  • Cross-referencing with real-world AI adoption data from the Anthropic Economic Index (756 occupations, 17,998 tasks), we propose an AI Impact Matrix -- an interpretive framework that positions skills along four quadrants: High Displacement…
  • Key findings: (1) Mathematics (SAFI: 73.2) and Programming (71.8) receive the highest automation feasibility scores; Active Listening (42.2) and Reading Comprehension (45.5) receive the lowest; (2) a "capability-demand inversion" where…

Why It Matters For Eval

  • We present the Skill Automation Feasibility Index (SAFI), benchmarking four frontier LLMs -- LLaMA 3.3 70B, Mistral Large, Qwen 2.5 72B, and Gemini 2.5 Flash -- across 263 text-based tasks spanning all 35 skills in the U.S.
  • Key findings: (1) Mathematics (SAFI: 73.2) and Programming (71.8) receive the highest automation feasibility scores; Active Listening (42.2) and Reading Comprehension (45.5) receive the lowest; (2) a "capability-demand inversion" where…

Researcher Checklist

  • Gap: Human feedback protocol is explicit

    No explicit human feedback protocol detected.

  • Gap: Evaluation mode is explicit

    No clear evaluation mode extracted.

  • Gap: Quality control reporting appears

    No calibration/adjudication/IAA control explicitly detected.

  • Gap: Benchmark or dataset anchors are present

    No benchmark/dataset anchor extracted from abstract.

  • Gap: Metric reporting is present

    No metric terms extracted.

Category-Adjacent Papers (Broader Context)

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