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HFEPX · Eval paper review

PAYWORTHY: Can LLMs Predict Which Freelance Jobs an AI Agent Will Complete?

Mohammad Reza Rezaei, Dingxian Wang, Brett Levert, Celeste Fejzo +2 more

Published

Nov 3, 2026

Citations

0

Trust level

Low

Usefulness score

49/100 (Medium)

Extraction confidence

45% (Low)

Derived from extracted protocol signals and abstract evidence.

Rater population

Not reported

Signals refreshed

Nov 3, 2026

Should you rely on this paper?

This paper has useful evaluation signal, but protocol completeness is partial; pair it with related papers before deciding implementation strategy.

Use this as background context only. Do not make protocol decisions from this page alone.

Best use

Secondary protocol comparison source

Use if you need

A secondary eval reference to pair with stronger protocol papers.

What to verify

Validate the evaluation procedure and quality controls in the full paper before operational use.

Main weakness

The available metadata is too thin to trust this as a primary source.

Human feedback signal
Not explicit
Not explicit in abstract metadata
Evaluation signal
Detected
Eval setup described
Usefulness for eval research
49/100
Moderate-confidence candidate

Useful as a secondary reference; validate protocol details against neighboring papers.

Abstract

Before an AI agent takes on a paid job, someone has to judge whether it is likely to succeed. We test whether frontier language models can make this call before any attempt. We propose PAYWORTHY which contains 1{,}494 real freelance job postings, sampled from 18.8M postings made between 2020 and 2026 on a freelancing platform. An agent attempts each job from the posting alone in a single run, and an LLM judge acting as the client decides whether to accept the work. We ask 18 models to forecast how likely the agent is to succeed and measure how well each model's forecasts rank the accepted jobs above the rejected ones (AUC, where 0.5 is a random ranking). The answer depends on how the agent is described. Told what the agent cannot do, every model ranks the jobs well (AUC 0.66--0.86). Told instead that it is a generic agent with a browser and code execution, the same models rank the same jobs about as well as a random ordering (0.45--0.56). These results hold under judges from four other model families (Claude, GLM, Kimi and Qwen), and the informed forecasts also rank the verdicts of two human raters. Code is available at https://github.com/upwork/Payworthy

What we could verify

These are the protocol signals we could actually recover from the available paper metadata. Use them to decide whether this paper is worth deeper reading.

Human Feedback Types

missing

None explicit

No explicit feedback protocol extracted.

"Before an AI agent takes on a paid job, someone has to judge whether it is likely to succeed."

Evaluation Modes

partial

Human Eval, Llm As Judge, Automatic Metrics

Includes extracted eval setup.

"Before an AI agent takes on a paid job, someone has to judge whether it is likely to succeed."

Quality Controls

missing

Not reported

No explicit QC controls found.

"Before an AI agent takes on a paid job, someone has to judge whether it is likely to succeed."

Benchmarks / Datasets

missing

Not extracted

No benchmark anchors detected.

"Before an AI agent takes on a paid job, someone has to judge whether it is likely to succeed."

Reported Metrics

partial

Auroc

Useful for evaluation criteria comparison.

"Before an AI agent takes on a paid job, someone has to judge whether it is likely to succeed."

Benchmarks and datasets

No benchmark or dataset names were extracted from the available abstract.

Reported metrics

auroc
Human feedback details
Uses human feedback
No
Feedback types
None
Rater population
Not reported
Expertise required
Coding
Evaluation details
Evaluation modes
Human Eval, Llm As Judge, Automatic Metrics
Agentic eval
None
Quality controls
Not reported
Evidence quality
Low
Use this page as
Secondary protocol comparison source

Research brief

Metadata summary

Before an AI agent takes on a paid job, someone has to judge whether it is likely to succeed.

Based on abstract + metadata only. Check the source paper before making high-confidence protocol decisions.

Key takeaways

  • Before an AI agent takes on a paid job, someone has to judge whether it is likely to succeed.
  • We test whether frontier language models can make this call before any attempt.
  • We propose PAYWORTHY which contains 1{,}494 real freelance job postings, sampled from 18.8M postings made between 2020 and 2026 on a freelancing platform.

Researcher actions

  • Compare this paper against nearby papers in the same arXiv category before using it for protocol decisions.
  • Check the full text for explicit evaluation design choices (raters, protocol, and metrics).
  • Use related-paper links to find stronger protocol-specific references.

Caveats

  • Generated from abstract + metadata only; no PDF parsing.
  • Signals below are heuristic and may miss details reported outside the abstract.

Recommended queries

Contribution summary

  • Before an AI agent takes on a paid job, someone has to judge whether it is likely to succeed.
  • We test whether frontier language models can make this call before any attempt.

Why it matters for eval

  • An agent attempts each job from the posting alone in a single run, and an LLM judge acting as the client decides whether to accept the work.

Researcher checklist

  • Human feedback protocol is explicit

    No explicit human feedback protocol detected.

  • Evaluation mode is explicit

    Detected: Human Eval, Llm As Judge, Automatic Metrics

  • Quality control reporting appears

    No calibration/adjudication/IAA control explicitly detected.

  • Benchmark or dataset anchors are present

    No benchmark/dataset anchor extracted from abstract.

  • Metric reporting is present

    Detected: auroc