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EpidemIQs: Prompt-to-Paper LLM Agents for Epidemic Modeling and Analysis

Mohammad Hossein Samaei, Faryad Darabi Sahneh, Lee W. Cohnstaedt, Caterina Scoglio · Sep 24, 2025 · Citations: 0

Data freshness

Extraction: Fresh

Check recency before relying on this page for active eval decisions. Use stale pages as context and verify against current hub results.

Metadata refreshed

Feb 25, 2026, 9:22 AM

Stale

Extraction refreshed

Apr 13, 2026, 6:22 AM

Fresh

Extraction source

Persisted extraction

Confidence 0.70

Abstract

Large Language Models (LLMs) offer new opportunities to accelerate complex interdisciplinary research domains. Epidemic modeling, characterized by its complexity and reliance on network science, dynamical systems, epidemiology, and stochastic simulations, represents a prime candidate for leveraging LLM-driven automation. We introduce EpidemIQs, a novel multi-agent LLM framework that integrates user inputs and autonomously conducts literature review, analytical derivation, network modeling, mechanistic modeling, stochastic simulations, data visualization and analysis, and finally documentation of findings in a structured manuscript, through five predefined research phases. We introduce two types of agents: a scientist agent for planning, coordination, reflection, and generation of final results, and a task-expert agent to focus exclusively on one specific duty serving as a tool to the scientist agent. The framework consistently generated complete reports in scientific article format. Specifically, using GPT 4.1 and GPT 4.1 Mini as backbone LLMs for scientist and task-expert agents, respectively, the autonomous process completes with average total token usage 870K at a cost of about $1.57 per study, successfully executing all phases and final report. We evaluate EpidemIQs across several different epidemic scenarios, measuring computational cost, workflow reliability, task success rate, and LLM-as-Judge and human expert reviews to estimate the overall quality and technical correctness of the generated results. Through our experiments, the framework consistently addresses evaluation scenarios with an average task success rate of 79%. We compare EpidemIQs to an iterative single-agent LLM, benefiting from the same system prompts and tools, iteratively planning, invoking tools, and revising outputs until task completion. The comparisons suggest a consistently higher performance of EpidemIQs.

HFEPX Relevance Assessment

This paper has strong direct human-feedback and evaluation protocol signal and is suitable as a primary eval pipeline reference.

Best use

Primary protocol reference for eval design

Use if you need

A secondary eval reference to pair with stronger protocol papers.

Main weakness

No major weakness surfaced.

Trust level

Moderate

Eval-Fit Score

79/100 • High

Use this as a primary source when designing or comparing eval protocols.

Human Feedback Signal

Detected

Evaluation Signal

Detected

HFEPX Fit

High-confidence candidate

Extraction confidence: Moderate

Field Provenance & Confidence

Each key protocol field shows extraction state, confidence band, and data source so you can decide whether to trust it directly or validate from full text.

Human Feedback Types

strong

Expert Verification

Confidence: Moderate Source: Persisted extraction evidenced

Directly usable for protocol triage.

Evidence snippet: Large Language Models (LLMs) offer new opportunities to accelerate complex interdisciplinary research domains.

Evaluation Modes

strong

Llm As Judge, Simulation Env

Confidence: Moderate Source: Persisted extraction evidenced

Includes extracted eval setup.

Evidence snippet: Large Language Models (LLMs) offer new opportunities to accelerate complex interdisciplinary research domains.

Quality Controls

missing

Not reported

Confidence: Low Source: Persisted extraction missing

No explicit QC controls found.

Evidence snippet: Large Language Models (LLMs) offer new opportunities to accelerate complex interdisciplinary research domains.

Benchmarks / Datasets

missing

Not extracted

Confidence: Low Source: Persisted extraction missing

No benchmark anchors detected.

Evidence snippet: Large Language Models (LLMs) offer new opportunities to accelerate complex interdisciplinary research domains.

Reported Metrics

strong

Success rate, Cost

Confidence: Moderate Source: Persisted extraction evidenced

Useful for evaluation criteria comparison.

Evidence snippet: Specifically, using GPT 4.1 and GPT 4.1 Mini as backbone LLMs for scientist and task-expert agents, respectively, the autonomous process completes with average total token usage 870K at a cost of about $1.57 per study, successfully executing all phases and final report.

Rater Population

strong

Domain Experts

Confidence: Moderate Source: Persisted extraction evidenced

Helpful for staffing comparability.

Evidence snippet: We introduce two types of agents: a scientist agent for planning, coordination, reflection, and generation of final results, and a task-expert agent to focus exclusively on one specific duty serving as a tool to the scientist agent.

Human Data Lens

  • Uses human feedback: Yes
  • Feedback types: Expert Verification
  • Rater population: Domain Experts
  • Unit of annotation: Unknown
  • Expertise required: General
  • Extraction source: Persisted extraction

Evaluation Lens

  • Evaluation modes: Llm As Judge, Simulation Env
  • Agentic eval: Multi Agent
  • Quality controls: Not reported
  • Confidence: 0.70
  • Flags: None

Protocol And Measurement Signals

Benchmarks / Datasets

No benchmark or dataset names were extracted from the available abstract.

Reported Metrics

success ratecost

Research Brief

Deterministic synthesis

Large Language Models (LLMs) offer new opportunities to accelerate complex interdisciplinary research domains. HFEPX signals include Expert Verification, Llm As Judge, Simulation Env with confidence 0.70. Updated from current HFEPX corpus.

Generated Apr 13, 2026, 6:22 AM · Grounded in abstract + metadata only

Key Takeaways

  • Large Language Models (LLMs) offer new opportunities to accelerate complex interdisciplinary research domains.
  • Epidemic modeling, characterized by its complexity and reliance on network science, dynamical systems, epidemiology, and stochastic simulations, represents a prime candidate for…
  • We introduce EpidemIQs, a novel multi-agent LLM framework that integrates user inputs and autonomously conducts literature review, analytical derivation, network modeling,…

Researcher Actions

  • Compare its human-feedback setup against pairwise and rubric hubs.
  • Identify benchmark choices from full text before operationalizing conclusions.
  • Validate metric comparability (success rate, cost).

Caveats

  • Generated from title, abstract, and extracted metadata only; full-paper implementation details are not parsed.
  • Extraction confidence is probabilistic and should be validated for critical decisions.

Research Summary

Contribution Summary

  • Large Language Models (LLMs) offer new opportunities to accelerate complex interdisciplinary research domains.
  • Epidemic modeling, characterized by its complexity and reliance on network science, dynamical systems, epidemiology, and stochastic simulations, represents a prime candidate for leveraging LLM-driven automation.
  • We introduce EpidemIQs, a novel multi-agent LLM framework that integrates user inputs and autonomously conducts literature review, analytical derivation, network modeling, mechanistic modeling, stochastic simulations, data visualization and

Why It Matters For Eval

  • We introduce EpidemIQs, a novel multi-agent LLM framework that integrates user inputs and autonomously conducts literature review, analytical derivation, network modeling, mechanistic modeling, stochastic simulations, data visualization and
  • We introduce two types of agents: a scientist agent for planning, coordination, reflection, and generation of final results, and a task-expert agent to focus exclusively on one specific duty serving as a tool to the scientist agent.

Researcher Checklist

  • Pass: Human feedback protocol is explicit

    Detected: Expert Verification

  • Pass: Evaluation mode is explicit

    Detected: Llm As Judge, Simulation Env

  • Gap: Quality control reporting appears

    No calibration/adjudication/IAA control explicitly detected.

  • Gap: Benchmark or dataset anchors are present

    No benchmark/dataset anchor extracted from abstract.

  • Pass: Metric reporting is present

    Detected: success rate, cost

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