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AILS-NTUA at SemEval-2026 Task 12: Graph-Based Retrieval and Reflective Prompting for Abductive Event Reasoning

Nikolas Karafyllis, Maria Lymperaiou, Giorgos Filandrianos, Athanasios Voulodimos, Giorgos Stamou · Mar 4, 2026 · Citations: 0

Data freshness

Extraction: Fresh

Check recency before relying on this page for active eval decisions. Use stale pages as context and verify against current hub results.

Metadata refreshed

Mar 4, 2026, 5:38 PM

Recent

Extraction refreshed

Mar 7, 2026, 5:25 PM

Fresh

Extraction source

Persisted extraction

Confidence 0.80

Abstract

We present a winning three-stage system for SemEval 2026 Task~12: Abductive Event Reasoning that combines graph-based retrieval, LLM-driven abductive reasoning with prompt design optimized through reflective prompt evolution, and post-hoc consistency enforcement; our system ranks first on the evaluation-phase leaderboard with an accuracy score of 0.95. Cross-model error analysis across 14 models (7~families) reveals three shared inductive biases: causal chain incompleteness, proximate cause preference, and salience bias, whose cross-family convergence (51\% cause-count reduction) indicates systematic rather than model-specific failure modes in multi-label causal reasoning.

HFEPX Relevance Assessment

This paper has useful evaluation signal, but protocol completeness is partial; pair it with related papers before deciding implementation strategy.

Best use

Secondary protocol comparison source

Use if you need

A benchmark-and-metrics comparison anchor.

Main weakness

No major weakness surfaced.

Trust level

High

Eval-Fit Score

65/100 • Medium

Useful as a secondary reference; validate protocol details against neighboring papers.

Human Feedback Signal

Detected

Evaluation Signal

Detected

HFEPX Fit

Moderate-confidence candidate

Extraction confidence: High

Field Provenance & Confidence

Each key protocol field shows extraction state, confidence band, and data source so you can decide whether to trust it directly or validate from full text.

Human Feedback Types

strong

Pairwise Preference

Confidence: High Source: Persisted extraction evidenced

Directly usable for protocol triage.

Evidence snippet: We present a winning three-stage system for SemEval 2026 Task~12: Abductive Event Reasoning that combines graph-based retrieval, LLM-driven abductive reasoning with prompt design optimized through reflective prompt evolution, and post-hoc consistency enforcement; our system ranks first on the evaluation-phase leaderboard with an accuracy score of 0.95.

Evaluation Modes

strong

Automatic Metrics

Confidence: High Source: Persisted extraction evidenced

Includes extracted eval setup.

Evidence snippet: We present a winning three-stage system for SemEval 2026 Task~12: Abductive Event Reasoning that combines graph-based retrieval, LLM-driven abductive reasoning with prompt design optimized through reflective prompt evolution, and post-hoc consistency enforcement; our system ranks first on the evaluation-phase leaderboard with an accuracy score of 0.95.

Quality Controls

missing

Not reported

Confidence: Low Source: Persisted extraction missing

No explicit QC controls found.

Evidence snippet: We present a winning three-stage system for SemEval 2026 Task~12: Abductive Event Reasoning that combines graph-based retrieval, LLM-driven abductive reasoning with prompt design optimized through reflective prompt evolution, and post-hoc consistency enforcement; our system ranks first on the evaluation-phase leaderboard with an accuracy score of 0.95.

Benchmarks / Datasets

strong

Semeval

Confidence: High Source: Persisted extraction evidenced

Useful for quick benchmark comparison.

Evidence snippet: We present a winning three-stage system for SemEval 2026 Task~12: Abductive Event Reasoning that combines graph-based retrieval, LLM-driven abductive reasoning with prompt design optimized through reflective prompt evolution, and post-hoc consistency enforcement; our system ranks first on the evaluation-phase leaderboard with an accuracy score of 0.95.

Reported Metrics

strong

Accuracy

Confidence: High Source: Persisted extraction evidenced

Useful for evaluation criteria comparison.

Evidence snippet: We present a winning three-stage system for SemEval 2026 Task~12: Abductive Event Reasoning that combines graph-based retrieval, LLM-driven abductive reasoning with prompt design optimized through reflective prompt evolution, and post-hoc consistency enforcement; our system ranks first on the evaluation-phase leaderboard with an accuracy score of 0.95.

Rater Population

missing

Unknown

Confidence: Low Source: Persisted extraction missing

Rater source not explicitly reported.

Evidence snippet: We present a winning three-stage system for SemEval 2026 Task~12: Abductive Event Reasoning that combines graph-based retrieval, LLM-driven abductive reasoning with prompt design optimized through reflective prompt evolution, and post-hoc consistency enforcement; our system ranks first on the evaluation-phase leaderboard with an accuracy score of 0.95.

Human Data Lens

  • Uses human feedback: Yes
  • Feedback types: Pairwise Preference
  • Rater population: Unknown
  • Unit of annotation: Unknown
  • Expertise required: General
  • Extraction source: Persisted extraction

Evaluation Lens

  • Evaluation modes: Automatic Metrics
  • Agentic eval: None
  • Quality controls: Not reported
  • Confidence: 0.80
  • Flags: runtime_fallback_extraction

Protocol And Measurement Signals

Benchmarks / Datasets

Semeval

Reported Metrics

accuracy

Research Brief

Deterministic synthesis

We present a winning three-stage system for SemEval 2026 Task~12: Abductive Event Reasoning that combines graph-based retrieval, LLM-driven abductive reasoning with prompt design optimized through reflective prompt evolution, and post-hoc… HFEPX signals include Pairwise Preference, Automatic Metrics with confidence 0.80. Updated from current HFEPX corpus.

Generated Mar 7, 2026, 5:25 PM · Grounded in abstract + metadata only

Key Takeaways

  • We present a winning three-stage system for SemEval 2026 Task~12: Abductive Event Reasoning that combines graph-based retrieval, LLM-driven abductive reasoning with prompt design…
  • Cross-model error analysis across 14 models (7~families) reveals three shared inductive biases: causal chain incompleteness, proximate cause preference, and salience bias, whose…

Researcher Actions

  • Compare its human-feedback setup against pairwise and rubric hubs.
  • Cross-check benchmark overlap: Semeval.
  • Validate metric comparability (accuracy).

Caveats

  • Generated from title, abstract, and extracted metadata only; full-paper implementation details are not parsed.
  • Extraction confidence is probabilistic and should be validated for critical decisions.

Research Summary

Contribution Summary

  • We present a winning three-stage system for SemEval 2026 Task~12: Abductive Event Reasoning that combines graph-based retrieval, LLM-driven abductive reasoning with prompt design optimized through reflective prompt evolution, and post-hoc…
  • Cross-model error analysis across 14 models (7~families) reveals three shared inductive biases: causal chain incompleteness, proximate cause preference, and salience bias, whose cross-family convergence (51\% cause-count reduction)…

Why It Matters For Eval

  • We present a winning three-stage system for SemEval 2026 Task~12: Abductive Event Reasoning that combines graph-based retrieval, LLM-driven abductive reasoning with prompt design optimized through reflective prompt evolution, and post-hoc…
  • Cross-model error analysis across 14 models (7~families) reveals three shared inductive biases: causal chain incompleteness, proximate cause preference, and salience bias, whose cross-family convergence (51\% cause-count reduction)…

Researcher Checklist

  • Pass: Human feedback protocol is explicit

    Detected: Pairwise Preference

  • Pass: Evaluation mode is explicit

    Detected: Automatic Metrics

  • Gap: Quality control reporting appears

    No calibration/adjudication/IAA control explicitly detected.

  • Pass: Benchmark or dataset anchors are present

    Detected: Semeval

  • Pass: Metric reporting is present

    Detected: accuracy

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